Haven’t done too well the last couple of weeks, but this is the week my luck changes. Maybe I have been over thinking the picks too much, so this week I’m going with my first instinct and sticking with it.

Atlanta at Indianapolis (+8) – Has Indy given up? Maybe not, but they still can’t win against the spread. Atlanta covers on the road.

New York Jets at Buffalo (-2) – Bills to cover at home.

Cleveland at Houston (-10.5) – I like Houston, and even though they score a lot of points, they haven’t been covering. That should change this week against a Browns team that has scored 16 points the last two weeks – combined.  Texans cover easily.

Miami at Kansas City (-4) – I feel like even though the Chiefs look a lot better, they are still not getting the credit natioanlly. The Dolphins are terrible.  Cheifs cover at home.

San Francisco at Washington (+4) – Upset Special. Washington pulls out a win when the 49ers take this game too easily.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-8.5) – The Bucs won this game last time, but the Saints have got to be upset after that showing last week. I’ll take the Saints to cover this time.

Seattle at Dallas (-12) – Dallas? Cover? Why would they start now? Seattle keeps it within 12.

Denver at Oakland (-7.5) – Oakland without McFadden > Tebow. Oakland covers.

Cincinnati at Tennessee (-3) – Cincinnati isn’t getting credit.  Tennessee still is for some reason.  Don’t bet against the Red Rifle – Bengals will win this game straight up.

New York Giants at New England (-9) – Everyone knows that the Pats don’t lose two games in a row. Nine points is a lot though – I’ll take the Giants to keep it close.

St. Louis at Arizona (-1.5) – My “I don’t care game of the week” also known as “Andrew Luck Bowl part II.”  A.J. Feeley? John Skelton? This game should have been on Halloween, as many people are out there trying to impersonate NFL Quarterbacks.  I’ll take the Rams.

Green Bay at San Diego (+6) – San Diego hands Green bay their first loss of the season.  San Diego at home.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-3.5) – Steelers, at home, in front of a national audience? I’ll take the Steelers to cover, but it will be close.

Chicago at Philadelphia (-8) – Eight points is a lot to give to a team that is only 3-4.  I’ll take the Bears.

Last week: 5-7-1 against the spread, 11-14-1 Overall. Bet the opposite that I do, and you would be in the money.

Tags: NFL, NFL Picks

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