Miami at NY Giants (-10.5) – Miami is seriously challenged offensively. While I think that the Giants will probably end up a sub .500 team at the end of the season, this is a win they will get for sure, preserving Miamiâ€™s lead in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes. Think about this from another perspective: If you were Andrew Luck, and your other potential future homes included Indianapolis, Phoenix, St. Louis, Minneapolis and Seattle, how could you not be rooting for the Dolphins to go 0-16? Giants win and cover at home.
Minnesota at Carolina (-3) – Last week, I said that only a Rex Grossman led team could be an underdog at Carolina. Forgot about the Minnesota Vikings when I said that, but can you blame me? The Vikings have a lot of talent, but unfortunately it’s all in Adrian Peterson. They’ll need more than that to get past the Panthers. Carolina to cover.
New Orleans at St. Louis (+13.5) – St. Louis winning this one would make turning water into wine look like child’s play. Even with Bradford getting healthier, and Brandon Lloyd getting more comfortable with the offense, they won’t come close to the Saints offense which is on a major roll right now. Saints cover easily.
Arizona at Baltimore (-14) – This line has gotten bigger as the week has progressed. Judging by how the Ravens offense played last week, it’s hard to see why. Not taking anything away from the Jacksonville defense, but this Ravens offense has been offensive as of late. I won’t go with the upset, but I think the Cardinals can keep this close. I’ll take the Cards and the points on the road.
Indianapolis at Tennessee (-10) – Yes, Indy looked horrible Sunday night. One of the worst performances in the history of the franchise. Which is exactly why I think they will be out to redeem themselves against a Tennessee team that isn’t that great either. This could be a game that comes down to the final possession, and I’m thinking the Colts could get their first win of the season in this one. Ten points is too many to give, so I’ll take the Colts.
Jacksonville at Houston (-10.5) – Looks like the Texans offense is back on track, with Andre Johnson coming back and Arian Foster back to his 2010 form, which makes them hard to stop. I know Jacksonville’s defense had a great showing last week, but they were motivated by being at home on Monday night. Now they go on the road, with a short week, against a good defense and a great offense. Foster might not get 200 this week, but I see the Texans winning easily in this one. Houston to cover.
Washington at Buffalo (-7) – Buffalo is undefeated at home, winning 3 games by a grand total of 13 points. The Redskins look better with Beck under center, but will it be enough to pull the upset? I’m guessing that Washington keeps it close, but the Bills continue their streak of close wins at home. I’ll take the points and the Redskins against the spread however.
Detroit at Denver (+2.5) – Could Detroit lose 3 in a row? Sure, this isn’t the New England Patriots here. Will they? No. I’m looking forward to the first time Tim Tebow tries to run through Ndamukong Suh on a QB draw. Should be entertaining. Detroit to cover on the road.
Cleveland at San Francisco (-9) – Two weeks ago, “The Handshake” happened, and the Bay Area will never be the same. Maybe Karma will show up and smack Harbaugh on the back too hard, but I’m guessing that a Cleveland team that managed a grand total of two field goals at home last week isn’t going to keep this from becoming a blowout. I would take San Fran if the line was 20. They should cover easily.
New England at Pittsburgh (+2.5) – Decimated by injuries, the Steelers are now signing offensive linemen off the street. They are actually trolling the Pittsburgh area Gold Gyms and asking people to block for Big Ben’s blind side. Luckily, the Patriots have Albert Haynesworth, who hasn’t been to a gym in years. I’ll take Pittsburgh as a home dog in a game that should come down to the last drive.
Cincinnati at Seattle (+2.5) – My “I don’t care game of the week”. I keep thinking that Seattle at home is tough, so Seahawks in the upset.
Dallas at Philadelphia (-3.5) – The Eagles need to win this one, or they can pretty much write off the rest of their season. Tony Romo is facing a defense that has not two, but three All-Pro cornerbacks. Seems like a no-brainer, right? Well the Cowboys could very easily be 5-1 at this point, and in the Super Bowl conversation if not for a few misguided Romo passes. So instead of Romo, I think that DeMarco Murray runs wild again, and the Cowboys ride him to their second win in a row, and essentially end the Eagles’ season. I’ll take the points and the Cowboys.
San Diego at Kansas City (+3.5) – Todd Haley has performed an amazing turnaround in Kansas City after getting blown out the first two games of the season and losing their All Pro running back. Already playing for the second time this season, and despite KC losing to the Chargers in week three by a score of 20-17, these seem to be two teams heading in opposite directions. A win here, and the Chiefs will be tied for first place in their division. I say it happens, and will take the points and the Chiefs.
Last week: 6-7 against the spread, but 1-0 in number of INTs thrown by Carson Palmer.